MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19a7a5b9a267c07c8090c7442455785615ad92c0466a07f7dc2d2e818686087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Athletics | 41c | 19,688$8,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,615.87 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 41c | 11,111$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.49 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 8,551$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.82 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Red Sox | 59c | 8,500$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…5059backed Red Sox | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 59c | 7,289$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.51 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,698$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 59c | 3,345$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.55 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 18c | 3,318$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Sox | 59c | 3,289$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.51 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 25c | 3,219$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 59c | 3,106$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 70c | 2,541$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 59c | 2,235$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.65 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 2,196$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Red Sox | 59c | 1,760$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Red Sox | 67c | 1,654$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Athletics | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.65 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 41c | 999.96$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Red Sox | 59c | 983.05$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 41c | 974.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.19 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 40c | 880.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.59 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 863$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.17 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Athletics | 35c | 799.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 42c | 788.1$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.1 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 28c | 751.54$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Red Sox | 71c | 660$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 59c | 652.05$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.56 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Athletics | 40c | 643$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Red Sox | 36c | 638.1$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 58c | 620.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.17 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Athletics | 40c | 604.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Red Sox | 59c | 547.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 30c | 532.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 530.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 40c | 513$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Red Sox | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Athletics | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Red Sox | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 24c | 437.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 32c | 421.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 42c | 378.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Red Sox | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 341.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Athletics | 41c | 317$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 303.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 63c | 297.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Athletics | 68c | 294.63$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 53c | 284$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Red Sox | 43c | 280.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Sox | 59c | 277$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Red Sox | 72c | 276.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 23c | 276$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Red Sox | 74c | 269.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Athletics | 39c | 257.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Red Sox | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Red Sox | 59c | 248.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 42c | 235.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Red Sox | 53c | 226.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Red Sox | 60c | 201.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.