MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0bc5abd037cd8b236fbb2375cfcb64e9d930f3a88e28bbac198b43b6fcd3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 52c | 325,212$169,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,110.03 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 48c | 99,941$48,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,933.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Red Sox | 48c | 68,794$33,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,773.07 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 43c | 52,484$22,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,583.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 50c | 40,764$20,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,383.41 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 31,200$14,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,224 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Red Sox | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Red Sox | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 14,990$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 13,787$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,102.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 48c | 10,888$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.76 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 61c | 7,790$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 41c | 7,471$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 49c | 6,828$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.03 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 72c | 5,981$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.17 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked Rays | 49c | 4,760$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Rays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 50c | 3,289$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Red Sox | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 2,958$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Red Sox | 48c | 2,854$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.12 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Rays | 51c | 2,472$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,458$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.56 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,188$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rays | 49c | 2,000$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 61c | 1,663$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.25 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rays | 55c | 1,626$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.3 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,399$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.52 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 49c | 1,169$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,128$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.51 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Red Sox | 52c | 985.79$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 51c | 979.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rays | 28c | 950$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox | 48c | 948$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.46 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 21c | 744$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 36c | 705.36$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed Red Sox | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 47c | 578.59$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rays | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 48c | 560.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 539.6$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 48c | 473.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Rays | 52c | 429.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…673fbacked Red Sox | 49c | 429.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Rays | 52c | 425$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 424.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Red Sox | 75c | 401.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Red Sox | 50c | 400.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Red Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 28c | 372.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 51c | 367.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 39c | 364.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rays | 15c | 360.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Red Sox | 46c | 329.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Red Sox | 49c | 321.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Sox | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox | 50c | 269.2$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 49c | 264.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Red Sox | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Red Sox | 48c | 251.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Rays | 52c | 248$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Red Sox | 50c | 241.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Sox | 63c | 231.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Red Sox | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Red Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Raysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.