TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,020,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,013,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers50c643,741$320,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323,264.5438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rangers50c201,819$100,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,909.59440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Mets50c131,700$65,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,85011759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets50c124,938$62,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,861.351,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets50c120,000$60,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,499.9955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mets52c80,000$41,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,30044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets50c49,550$24,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,548.591,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets50c48,504$24,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,252.1835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets50c47,883$24,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,080.763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mets43c27,209$11,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,771.678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets50c21,481$10,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,757.5338047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mets50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Mets51c18,935$9,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,57011345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers50c18,467$9,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,253.219135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets50c17,840$8,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,934.271,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets50c15,500$7,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8201,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets50c13,333$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Rangers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9914648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mets35c9,944$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.531,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets50c9,499$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Mets50c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.58464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Mets50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mets51c4,901$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.511,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Mets50c4,099$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.724057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets13c3,789$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Mets42c3,720$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.3421847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets51c3,044$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.52,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets50c2,926$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.0873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Mets51c2,857$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets51c2,830$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4571,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets15c2,148$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.949,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Mets52c2,039$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06220747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mets51c1,630$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.31,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked Mets51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mets50c1,328$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.31,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Mets50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Rangers49c1,093$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.0717354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Mets36c1,020$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.46949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Mets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…df2dbacked Mets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets5c862.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Mets50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Mets51c787.5$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6320748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mets51c784$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.841,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Mets52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Mets52c680.8$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5114055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mets2c611.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.585852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers50c600.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3830842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers49c599.97$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers48c538.12$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.8251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Rangers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Mets49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers48c492$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.841,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Mets51c412$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1217946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Mets51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Mets51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mets51c391.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9214235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1f…afd7backed Mets52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets11c374.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mets13c365.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2760052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Mets52c344$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.81,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mets52c334.22$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mets13c322.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.468,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520b…7645backed Mets21c258.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558933.7%30 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Mets51c255.69$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.418446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mets20c241.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Mets5c221$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Mets51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Mets51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5924250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd4…b11dbacked Rangers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10466751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Mets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Mets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets16c185.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Mets15c166.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6233137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets52c163.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Mets51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5624346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Mets45c155.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9821044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rangers49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4935245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Mets51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mets51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers49c128$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.282,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad9…7e5bbacked Mets13c113.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…6a09backed Mets52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Mets18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…5fb0backed Mets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Mets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Mets53c84.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.696755.2%37 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Mets51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041c…88c5backed Mets50c77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.518750.3%94 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.