MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c48c4e05579de7b35c079d89aaafda4e45df59729bdf84fa755202ca6212553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,013,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 50c | 643,741$320,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323,264.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rangers | 50c | 201,819$100,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,909.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mets | 50c | 131,700$65,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,850 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 50c | 124,938$62,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,861.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 50c | 120,000$60,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,499.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 52c | 80,000$41,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,300 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 50c | 49,550$24,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,548.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 50c | 48,504$24,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,252.18 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 50c | 47,883$24,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,080.7 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 43c | 27,209$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,771.6 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 50c | 21,481$10,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,757.53 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mets | 51c | 18,935$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,570 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers | 50c | 18,467$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,253.21 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 50c | 17,840$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,934.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 50c | 15,500$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 50c | 13,333$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.5 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rangers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 35c | 9,944$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 50c | 9,499$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.5 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mets | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Mets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 51c | 4,901$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.51 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Mets | 50c | 4,099$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.72 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 13c | 3,789$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 42c | 3,720$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.34 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 51c | 3,044$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 50c | 2,926$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.08 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Mets | 51c | 2,857$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 51c | 2,830$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 15c | 2,148$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mets | 52c | 2,039$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked Mets | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 50c | 1,328$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.3 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Mets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rangers | 49c | 1,093$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.07 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Mets | 36c | 1,020$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…df2dbacked Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 5c | 862.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 51c | 787.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 52c | 680.8$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mets | 2c | 611.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers | 50c | 600.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 49c | 599.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 48c | 538.12$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Rangers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mets | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 48c | 492$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mets | 51c | 412$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mets | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mets | 51c | 391.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Mets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 11c | 374.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mets | 13c | 365.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mets | 52c | 344$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 52c | 334.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 13c | 322.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Mets | 21c | 258.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mets | 51c | 255.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 20c | 241.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Mets | 5c | 221$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Mets | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Mets | 51c | 209$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…b11dbacked Rangers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Mets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 16c | 185.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Mets | 15c | 166.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 52c | 163.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mets | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Mets | 45c | 155.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rangers | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mets | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…7e5bbacked Mets | 13c | 113.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Mets | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mets | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Mets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Mets | 53c | 84.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Mets | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Metsthis page
- NRFI: Rangers vs. MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.