MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9462f0e41cfb781122c80f92f5bfe6b19f4b68fc5e59ff919dab466c90d8c2e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Athletics, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 50c | 77,857$38,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,160.7 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 50c | 33,654$16,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,827 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 51c | 14,973$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Cardinals | 49c | 11,055$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.7 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 51c | 8,258$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.58 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 5,700$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 52c | 5,097$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 46c | 3,059$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 2,345$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics | 39c | 2,234$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.96 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Athletics | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,622$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Athletics | 50c | 1,523$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.17 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics | 50c | 1,207$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.41 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Athletics | 49c | 1,183$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…b4edbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,170$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3203backed Athletics | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Athletics | 49c | 914.59$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.15 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 26c | 874.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 51c | 822.68$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.57 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Athletics | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 51c | 612.75$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cardinals | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 48c | 475.92$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.48 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 61c | 414.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.45 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 406.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Cardinals | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…9a96backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Athletics | 51c | 399.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 50c | 324$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 51c | 317$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 50c | 312$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Athletics | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Athletics | 60c | 299.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Athletics | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 50c | 247$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Cardinals | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a6babacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…5866backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…c4ddbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…b430backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…4823backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…68fabacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…6457backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…01e4backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…f10dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…4932backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…3f1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…71f1backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…5f74backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…65f8backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Athletics vs. Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.