Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison Dukes vs. Old Dominion Monarchs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7cc5b205d0a1d6003779d4ea68a4935228fe0f2d6b2e9114efd200b0c73127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominion Monarchsof James Madison Dukes, Old Dominion Monarchs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked James Madison Dukes | 15c | 2,238$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.71 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 2,181$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.81 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed James Madison Dukes | 65c | 1,459$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.28 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes | 52c | 1,425$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 35c | 1,027$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.86 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 1,020$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked James Madison Dukes | 64c | 1,006$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 969.02$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.65 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 47c | 593.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 45c | 552.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 50c | 543.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Madison Dukes | 54c | 419$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed James Madison Dukes | 54c | 404.22$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.27 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed James Madison Dukes | 10c | 377.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed James Madison Dukes | 62c | 322.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed James Madison Dukes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 226$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 225.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 218.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 212.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked James Madison Dukes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 151$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 136.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 53c | 130.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 116$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed James Madison Dukes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 51c | 92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed James Madison Dukes | 54c | 76.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed James Madison Dukes | 72c | 69.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked James Madison Dukes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed James Madison Dukes | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed James Madison Dukes | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 52c | 45.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked James Madison Dukes | 48c | 45.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed James Madison Dukes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked James Madison Dukes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed James Madison Dukes | 55c | 29.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed James Madison Dukes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked James Madison Dukes | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed James Madison Dukes | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked James Madison Dukes | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked James Madison Dukes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked James Madison Dukes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 45c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…3079backed James Madison Dukes | 48c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…d937backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked James Madison Dukes | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked James Madison Dukes | 55c | 18.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.