Cricket · resolved market
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c53de6bb070d1650ba99b4227092dfcef0e0d687b45b4a5701808bec3462f7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durban's Super Giantsof MI Cape Town, Durban's Super Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 2,380$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.34 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Durban's Super Giants | 64c | 1,711$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Durban's Super Giants | 59c | 1,202$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.68 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MI Cape Town | 4c | 1,049$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked MI Cape Town | 39c | 762.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked MI Cape Town | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Durban's Super Giants | 76c | 471.79$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked MI Cape Town | 28c | 349.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Durban's Super Giants | 41c | 244.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed MI Cape Town | 30c | 217.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Durban's Super Giants | 26c | 140$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…088dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed MI Cape Town | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MI Cape Town | 43c | 94.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…17b4backed Durban's Super Giants | 73c | 82.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed MI Cape Town | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed MI Cape Town | 64c | 78.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…b1e6backed MI Cape Town | 14c | 74.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked MI Cape Town | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed MI Cape Town | 60c | 63.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MI Cape Town | 61c | 58.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…3dc5backed MI Cape Town | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…0afabacked MI Cape Town | 38c | 52.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Durban's Super Giants | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…2b46backed MI Cape Town | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…6b45backed Durban's Super Giants | 41c | 36.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacef…dc3bbacked MI Cape Town | 62c | 34.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 38c | 29.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8161backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 29.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…58babacked MI Cape Town | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed MI Cape Town | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked MI Cape Town | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked MI Cape Town | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Durban's Super Giants | 66c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Durban's Super Giants | 70c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…9215backed MI Cape Town | 75c | 14.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.