Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ffd2efc0712476e2e7346e1548807a2999a78989c1881668fd7a99c98b8045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacific Tigersof Stony Brook Seawolves, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 3,800$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 3,400$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked Pacific Tigers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacific Tigers | 64c | 663$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 33c | 542$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 299.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 33c | 246$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pacific Tigers | 67c | 244.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Pacific Tigers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 130.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 33c | 108.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacific Tigers | 64c | 83.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 31c | 36.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed Pacific Tigers | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…3d04backed Pacific Tigers | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…c75abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 30.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Pacific Tigers | 66c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…1d22backed Pacific Tigers | 67c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e655backed Pacific Tigers | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigersthis page
- Spread: Pacific Tigers (-3.5)Pacific Tigers won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.