Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca6ae666590331106f4709d0b833783a2fc29bcf941ed63750fd321d3edf54d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Mary's Gaelsof Virginia Tech Hokies, Saint Mary's Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 65c | 1,331$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.75 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 35c | 1,325$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.75 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 760.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 67c | 564$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…f836backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 11c | 444.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 33c | 400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 9c | 153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…aa43backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…721ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 34c | 37.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…521dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 66c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 66c | 34.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…e0b0backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 34c | 34.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 67c | 19.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsthis page
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-4.5)Saint Mary's Gaels won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 143.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.