Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fb52ad8c728f941ec82e7ccb2da5116cf25aeb7ea1e7a0e84275e7f7d547e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama State Hornetsof Alcorn State Braves, Alabama State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Alcorn State Braves | 11c | 7,310$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Alcorn State Braves | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Alcorn State Braves | 4c | 1,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Alcorn State Braves | 5c | 1,350$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Alcorn State Braves | 21c | 1,088$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Alcorn State Braves | 27c | 671.7$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alcorn State Braves | 22c | 625.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Alcorn State Braves | 14c | 609$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Alcorn State Braves | 22c | 601.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alcorn State Braves | 20c | 540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Alcorn State Braves | 26c | 524$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Alcorn State Braves | 19c | 351.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Alcorn State Braves | 10c | 346.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 79c | 250.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama State Hornets | 78c | 223$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Alabama State Hornets | 77c | 210.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alcorn State Braves | 9c | 168.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Alcorn State Braves | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Alcorn State Braves | 21c | 152$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alcorn State Braves | 14c | 143.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alcorn State Braves | 27c | 135.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Alcorn State Braves | 15c | 134.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c77ebacked Alcorn State Braves | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Alcorn State Braves | 18c | 114.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets | 77c | 98.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Alcorn State Braves | 25c | 94.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alcorn State Braves | 22c | 93.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Alcorn State Braves | 23c | 66.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Alcorn State Braves | 19c | 66.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed Alabama State Hornets | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 77cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Alcorn State Braves | 23c | 57.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…81a1backed Alcorn State Braves | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Alabama State Hornets | 75c | 54.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Alabama State Hornets | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Alcorn State Braves | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Alabama State Hornets | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Alcorn State Braves | 27c | 48.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Alabama State Hornets | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Alabama State Hornets | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Alabama State Hornets | 77c | 20.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsthis page
- Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-7.5)Alabama State Hornets won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-8.5)Alabama State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.