TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

LIU Sharks vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LIU Sharksof LIU Sharks, Stonehill Skyhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked LIU Sharks72c2,300$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks78c1,319$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed LIU Sharks44c1,304$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd17…f596backed Stonehill Skyhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10170%0 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stonehill Skyhawks28c929$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.522,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Stonehill Skyhawks40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28043450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed LIU Sharks25c531$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Stonehill Skyhawks73c529.14$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0518654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed LIU Sharks60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Stonehill Skyhawks58c447.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks27c447.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stonehill Skyhawks28c424$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.721,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed LIU Sharks21c422.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.652,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LIU Sharks24c390$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.42,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Stonehill Skyhawks28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9612733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked LIU Sharks73c344.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4514062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Stonehill Skyhawks28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed LIU Sharks64c296.9$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LIU Sharks30c245.75$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.591,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LIU Sharks21c236.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.721,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stonehill Skyhawks30c234.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.451,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed LIU Sharks21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1584641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Stonehill Skyhawks74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14817062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Stonehill Skyhawks27c199.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8240147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Stonehill Skyhawks33c115.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked LIU Sharks73c114$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Stonehill Skyhawks45c111.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked LIU Sharks47c104.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c73.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Stonehill Skyhawks27c68.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked LIU Sharks73c63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.013748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stonehill Skyhawks68c51.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.951,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed LIU Sharks74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1334947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks53c45.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.814,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…2b55backed LIU Sharks73c25.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed LIU Sharks73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed LIU Sharks74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb5…8104backed LIU Sharks74c16.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.