TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Air Force Falconsof Alabama State Hornets, Air Force Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama State Hornets46c19,202$8,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,914.12,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Air Force Falcons53c6,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8507237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Air Force Falcons54c4,266$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.2928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Air Force Falcons54c2,900$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.523941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Air Force Falcons56c2,900$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.615843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Air Force Falcons57c2,357$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.5684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Air Force Falcons56c2,353$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.761,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Air Force Falcons56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7042250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Alabama State Hornets44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Air Force Falcons56c1,543$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama State Hornets44c1,342$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.82,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Alabama State Hornets51c1,078$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.511662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Air Force Falcons52c973.84$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.776538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Air Force Falcons47c954.44$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.072,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Air Force Falcons54c915.5$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alabama State Hornets44c899.89$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682b…0103backed Alabama State Hornets70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Alabama State Hornets59c534.3$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.512556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x282d…f0c8backed Alabama State Hornets45c490$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Air Force Falcons56c482$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.084641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Air Force Falcons56c416$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Air Force Falcons50c407.2$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.621,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Air Force Falcons55c304.57$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Air Force Falcons56c279.62$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3517650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Alabama State Hornets46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Air Force Falcons55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Air Force Falcons40c188.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.627119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Air Force Falcons57c184$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.127349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Alabama State Hornets41c180.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Air Force Falcons49c157.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3414035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Air Force Falcons54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Air Force Falcons55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c1…9b20backed Air Force Falcons56c106.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+66.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Alabama State Hornets52c100.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.091050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Alabama State Hornets65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Air Force Falcons55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Alabama State Hornets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Alabama State Hornets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Alabama State Hornets65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Alabama State Hornets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Air Force Falcons55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Alabama State Hornets56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0894…d8d1backed Alabama State Hornets19c97.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c60…b0ccbacked Alabama State Hornets54c93.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Alabama State Hornets53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.831,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Alabama State Hornets50c87.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.82334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b11…20a3backed Alabama State Hornets50c80.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Air Force Falcons48c73.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.981,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b9…c6e4backed Alabama State Hornets50c70.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Alabama State Hornets43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Alabama State Hornets46c64.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Air Force Falcons54c62.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.041,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Alabama State Hornets48c62.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc454…eba7backed Alabama State Hornets46c58.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbfe…01d2backed Alabama State Hornets49c56.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Air Force Falcons38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632718.5%5 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick9cpaid-23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…d908backed Air Force Falcons57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Alabama State Hornets43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x894c…eb44backed Alabama State Hornets43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd39…ff24backed Air Force Falcons56c48.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…8d66backed Air Force Falcons58c45.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…5d82backed Alabama State Hornets72c44.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791b…7bc8backed Air Force Falcons54c43.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Alabama State Hornets46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1038…d53bbacked Alabama State Hornets45c42.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd8…8e68backed Air Force Falcons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…890fbacked Alabama State Hornets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c73…36c5backed Alabama State Hornets44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11f…333cbacked Alabama State Hornets45c39.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a9…72b6backed Air Force Falcons54c39.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ea…ec3ebacked Alabama State Hornets48c39.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e5…f057backed Air Force Falcons56c37.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa720…2b46backed Air Force Falcons58c37.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Air Force Falcons54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…15d7backed Air Force Falcons56c36.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73c…6825backed Alabama State Hornets46c35.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Alabama State Hornets48c35.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.38per pick53cpaid+107.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Alabama State Hornets43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.054062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Air Force Falcons54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…2b55backed Air Force Falcons33c33.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6d…e4f4backed Alabama State Hornets67c33.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Air Force Falcons77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.444955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…6da2backed Air Force Falcons54c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.052,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x620c…4f4ebacked Alabama State Hornets46c28.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b8…0eb0backed Alabama State Hornets48c28.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…7f6abacked Air Force Falcons52c28.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.691631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81d8…2b8dbacked Air Force Falcons42c26.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa333…8756backed Air Force Falcons55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e14…44cfbacked Alabama State Hornets45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd52…bbccbacked Alabama State Hornets65c24.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Alabama State Hornets45c23.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ed…c84abacked Alabama State Hornets48c21.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…7550backed Air Force Falcons56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…5adebacked Alabama State Hornets70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Alabama State Hornets52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Air Force Falcons56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.187660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Alabama State Hornets68c20.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7117740.7%72 W · 105 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e80…e401backed Air Force Falcons55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…5dfabacked Air Force Falcons59c17.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.323063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.