Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Sooners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1899aa2b5b4d73b5705d8789846d2097211cb8b247612f58dfbc83668e518468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Marquette Golden Eagles, Oklahoma Sooners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 39c | 3,843$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 47c | 3,370$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma Sooners | 68c | 3,216$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.51 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 2,752$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 70c | 2,301$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.3 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oklahoma Sooners | 73c | 1,029$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Oklahoma Sooners | 44c | 901$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 542.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 68c | 541.54$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Oklahoma Sooners | 64c | 466.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 465.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 24c | 429.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 26c | 424.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 69c | 400.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.07 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 306.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 34c | 284.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 36c | 281.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma Sooners | 21c | 248.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 231.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 22c | 209$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 180.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 130.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 119.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 41c | 96.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 76.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Oklahoma Sooners | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Oklahoma Sooners | 34c | 64.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…59febacked Oklahoma Sooners | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 57.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 41c | 26.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…01ecbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 59c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 62c | 16.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oklahoma Sooners | 63c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Soonersthis page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 160.5Under won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-2.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.