Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Missouri Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e867120f8c1fbf49daa976288e09b4e01cccb060ae172603ce22dbd4545d3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 40,702$28,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,810.46 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Missouri Tigers | 29c | 14,546$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,218.32 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Missouri Tigers | 29c | 12,239$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Missouri Tigers | 29c | 9,022$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.38 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Kansas Jayhawks | 70c | 7,238$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.16 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Missouri Tigers | 30c | 4,551$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.23 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 29c | 3,190$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Missouri Tigers | 30c | 2,750$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.35 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri Tigers | 7c | 2,029$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 999.99$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri Tigers | 29c | 906$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks | 74c | 883$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Missouri Tigers | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 632$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri Tigers | 29c | 555.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Missouri Tigers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Missouri Tigers | 28c | 490$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Missouri Tigers | 42c | 357.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Missouri Tigers | 32c | 315$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Missouri Tigers | 29c | 307.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…ef52backed Kansas Jayhawks | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri Tigers | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Missouri Tigers | 8c | 214.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri Tigers | 32c | 208.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Missouri Tigers | 22c | 200.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Missouri Tigers | 32c | 200.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Missouri Tigers | 31c | 148.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 133.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Missouri Tigers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Missouri Tigers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Missouri Tigers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Missouri Tigers | 29c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri Tigers | 31c | 92.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 60.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kansas Jayhawks | 62c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Missouri Tigers | 27c | 38.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…8da0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 73c | 38.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Missouri Tigers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 60c | 19.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…64abbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 73c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 72c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Missouri Tigersthis page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.