MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea8e432a099d2b1a9e57b5b1abe84c23d30a1e18f59ffbe70bac229277e85455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Twins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins | 37c | 505,000$186,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,849.97 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 63c | 385,143$242,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,502.8 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers | 63c | 59,799$37,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,125.53 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Twins | 38c | 38,345$14,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,487.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers | 64c | 35,400$22,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,744.13 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 62c | 30,617$18,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,634.34 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rangers | 62c | 29,563$18,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,233.87 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Twins | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Rangers | 63c | 22,000$13,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,140 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 62c | 16,422$10,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.94 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Rangers | 63c | 13,572$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Twins | 38c | 13,333$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.54 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rangers | 62c | 11,110$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.8 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Rangers | 56c | 8,199$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.31 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rangers | 63c | 8,130$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.1 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers | 63c | 7,414$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.18 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 62c | 7,286$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.33 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 38c | 5,522$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Twins | 36c | 4,999$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.81 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 63c | 4,713$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers | 62c | 4,511$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.47 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 51c | 4,500$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.82 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Rangers | 64c | 3,305$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Rangers | 63c | 2,710$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.76 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Twins | 42c | 2,192$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.03 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.8 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Twins | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Twins | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rangers | 49c | 1,302$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 36c | 1,298$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.28 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 45c | 1,294$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Twins | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Twins | 54c | 1,021$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 62c | 1,006$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Rangers | 63c | 999.96$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 36c | 999.91$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 7c | 859.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 7c | 848.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 64c | 756$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 49c | 731.5$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.84 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Rangers | 63c | 731.22$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…52ccbacked Rangers | 64c | 701.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 38c | 658.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.63 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Rangers | 58c | 526.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 63c | 471$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Twins | 36c | 464.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Twins | 29c | 416.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Rangers | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Twins | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Twins | 46c | 391.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 43c | 372.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…f541backed Twins | 37c | 340.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d3…3d25backed Twins | 37c | 340.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Rangers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Twins | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Rangers | 62c | 314.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Rangers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Twins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Twins | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Twins | 54c | 279.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 63c | 278$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Twins | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 37c | 263.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers | 64c | 246.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rangers | 63c | 246$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Twins | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 63c | 236.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Twins | 38c | 225.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rangers | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Twins | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Rangers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers | 45c | 203.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Rangers | 63c | 192.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Rangers | 58c | 172.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rangers | 62c | 160.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 62c | 160.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers | 62c | 159$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…a734backed Rangers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 37c | 151$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Rangers | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Twins | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rangers | 63c | 110.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Rangers | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Twins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…3b89backed Twins | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Twins | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Twins | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Rangersthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.