Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drake Bulldogs vs. Charleston Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc3279d97d748cb410fbd3fe999e51649b34975146fe7bee617dde1a6fba7d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Drake Bulldogs, Charleston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Charleston Cougars | 72c | 1,575$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.72 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Drake Bulldogs | 28c | 678$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.16 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Drake Bulldogs | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 25c | 297.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Charleston Cougars | 72c | 260$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Drake Bulldogs | 25c | 226$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Drake Bulldogs | 25c | 195.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Drake Bulldogs | 25c | 113.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Charleston Cougars | 65c | 90.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Drake Bulldogs | 35c | 90.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 26c | 75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Charleston Cougars | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…7f6abacked Charleston Cougars | 75c | 33.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…3f51backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…a474backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…bc53backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 19.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.