Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. Duquesne Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5870020fa315168e28e8313fbdf13e976b24e4efc193fdb6c5f12aa0accb4824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Duquesne Dukes | 10c | 3,925$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Duquesne Dukes | 39c | 3,649$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.17 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 2,864$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Dayton Flyers | 72c | 2,514$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.15 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dayton Flyers | 59c | 1,546$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.86 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 1,418$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.09 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Duquesne Dukes | 27c | 1,350$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Duquesne Dukes | 41c | 1,342$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.22 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 1,070$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 1,048$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Duquesne Dukes | 38c | 1,040$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dayton Flyers | 69c | 958.73$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers | 65c | 902.49$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayton Flyers | 59c | 792.59$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 39c | 740$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duquesne Dukes | 20c | 685.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 11c | 498$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 351.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 21c | 339.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 326$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Duquesne Dukes | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 38c | 247.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 237.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Dayton Flyers | 57c | 217.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Dayton Flyers | 63c | 214$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 185.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Dayton Flyers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Dayton Flyers | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 12c | 143.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Duquesne Dukes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 43c | 116.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Duquesne Dukes | 43c | 116.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…a726backed Duquesne Dukes | 15c | 110.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Duquesne Dukes | 22c | 105.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Duquesne Dukes | 34c | 103.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Dayton Flyers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…860cbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 96.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…1242backed Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 95.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Dayton Flyers | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Duquesne Dukes | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Duquesne Dukes | 33c | 58.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 41c | 51.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Duquesne Dukes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Dayton Flyers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Dayton Flyers | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e21…7defbacked Duquesne Dukes | 24c | 42.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Dayton Flyers | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dayton Flyers | 67c | 34.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 41c | 30.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…7f6abacked Dayton Flyers | 64c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked Dayton Flyers | 65c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.