NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0401f2266d4838feeaf1516bfaf2ab231d98b14c531281b819beeebf90f8837a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Thunder | 45c | 93,029$42,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,983.01 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 54c | 44,612$23,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,972.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Pacers | 54c | 38,917$20,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,927.93 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Pacers | 33c | 16,945$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.4 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers | 43c | 16,191$7,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,037.98 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pacers | 57c | 11,349$6,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,488.31 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…f51ebacked Pacers | 35c | 10,040$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…a564backed Thunder | 65c | 10,020$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed Thunder | 61c | 7,959$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 50c | 7,799$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.6 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 36c | 6,852$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.85 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Thunder | 67c | 6,698$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.19 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 48c | 6,030$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.57 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 67c | 5,257$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.86 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Pacers | 58c | 4,714$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Pacers | 62c | 4,709$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 35c | 4,385$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.67 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 36c | 4,010$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.6 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 49c | 3,441$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.9 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 65c | 3,165$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.37 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 33c | 3,046$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 66c | 2,938$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.63 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 65c | 2,831$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.77 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…af4cbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,728$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 64c | 2,468$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.66 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Thunder | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.17 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Thunder | 69c | 2,183$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.87 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Pacers | 35c | 2,035$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed Thunder | 65c | 2,031$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…860ebacked Pacers | 33c | 2,030$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Thunder | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Thunder | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Thunder | 52c | 1,940$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 34c | 1,900$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.73 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Thunder | 43c | 1,530$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,436$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Thunder | 66c | 1,347$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.09 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…e598backed Thunder | 56c | 1,345$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers | 39c | 1,299$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.28 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…e867backed Pacers | 53c | 1,279$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,216$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.06 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 52c | 1,202$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.53 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,172$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Pacers | 57c | 1,122$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers | 34c | 1,111$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…24eabacked Thunder | 68c | 1,090$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Pacers | 56c | 1,075$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Pacers | 59c | 1,024$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Pacers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.35 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Thunder | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Pacers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Pacers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Thunder | 66c | 999.7$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…9845backed Pacers | 34c | 985.29$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked Pacers | 45c | 959.28$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Pacers | 47c | 958.49$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 34c | 946.14$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.69 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Thunder | 66c | 908.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e615backed Pacers | 48c | 894.49$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +131%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pacers | 42c | 803.49$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Thunder | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…defdbacked Pacers | 34c | 749.79$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Pacers | 33c | 717.73$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Thunder | 60c | 711.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Pacers | 35c | 705.71$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Thunder | 53c | 703.42$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder | 67c | 686.57$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Thunder | 62c | 650$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 57c | 646.9$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Pacers | 37c | 619.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Thunder | 51c | 618.81$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…a95cbacked Pacers | 32c | 612.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…e99dbacked Thunder | 51c | 585.29$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…9301backed Pacers | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Thunder | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 57c | 501.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.49 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pacers | 33c | 499.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Pacers | 58c | 499.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Thunder | 66c | 495.01$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Pacers | 34c | 485.21$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pacers | 34c | 482.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 70c | 467.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Thunder | 67c | 459.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Thunder | 67c | 455.77$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Thunder | 65c | 454.68$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Thunder | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Thunder | 67c | 446.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 34c | 439.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Thunder | 67c | 435.67$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Thunder | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Thunder | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Thunder | 63c | 399.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Thunder | 65c | 387$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77c…fe38backed Thunder | 65c | 371.49$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…85c5backed Thunder | 67c | 368.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 65c | 360.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.