NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfce0ef4c13054d79a90d3677d8828485366b08b7c818089767b8109c4aea2c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Suns | 61c | 64,744$39,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,279.59 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Warriors | 55c | 47,852$26,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,345.16 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Suns | 71c | 23,022$16,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,241.82 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Suns | 33c | 22,767$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,497.8 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 36c | 22,284$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,174.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 38c | 15,149$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,321.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 46c | 13,992$6,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.37 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Warriors | 34c | 13,028$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,643.99 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Warriors | 67c | 11,993$7,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.62 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Warriors | 42c | 11,780$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.85 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Suns | 46c | 11,060$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.4 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…fa36backed Warriors | 65c | 10,770$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Suns | 57c | 10,417$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.54 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 36c | 10,000$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.4 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Warriors | 32c | 9,449$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…502bbacked Suns | 35c | 8,887$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Warriors | 39c | 8,445$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.26 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…3327backed Suns | 45c | 6,009$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Warriors | 53c | 5,375$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.84 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Warriors | 64c | 4,478$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Warriors | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Suns | 51c | 3,969$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.1 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Warriors | 55c | 3,608$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.5 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Warriors | 56c | 3,560$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.4 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Warriors | 67c | 3,493$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.62 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 62c | 3,258$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.21 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Suns | 3c | 3,138$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Warriors | 69c | 3,014$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Suns | 49c | 3,000$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 31c | 2,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Warriors | 68c | 2,353$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.94 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Warriors | 70c | 2,314$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.06 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Suns | 33c | 2,303$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 24c | 2,202$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.67 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 67c | 2,174$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.65 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 34c | 2,168$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.39 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Suns | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Suns | 52c | 1,980$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Suns | 35c | 1,886$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Warriors | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns | 32c | 1,550$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Warriors | 42c | 1,360$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.53 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 61c | 1,350$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Suns | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Suns | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 32c | 1,020$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.45 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 28c | 1,002$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…5203backed Suns | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Warriors | 57c | 905.03$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…66e1backed Suns | 30c | 899.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Warriors | 69c | 899.96$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 49c | 891.07$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Warriors | 72c | 822.35$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Suns | 24c | 810.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Suns | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Suns | 38c | 799.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns | 32c | 762.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 8c | 755.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Suns | 37c | 667.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Suns | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 63c | 636.45$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…dfc0backed Warriors | 51c | 623.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Suns | 69c | 606.77$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.67 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Warriors | 50c | 573.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Warriors | 40c | 569.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.16 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Suns | 36c | 567.24$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 69c | 554.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Suns | 35c | 529.52$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Suns | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns | 70c | 520.99$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…d08cbacked Suns | 33c | 510.91$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 69c | 500$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Suns | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Suns | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Warriors | 67c | 465.16$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Suns | 33c | 460.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 34c | 441$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Warriors | 57c | 407.89$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Warriors | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Warriors | 59c | 399.64$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Warriors | 49c | 394.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Warriors | 70c | 393.57$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Suns | 31c | 393.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 57c | 371.07$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…9599backed Warriors | 69c | 356.64$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Suns | 41c | 348.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Suns | 38c | 348.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…2122backed Warriors | 59c | 345.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Suns | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Warriors | 69c | 318$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Suns | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Warriors | 70c | 308.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…7edcbacked Warriors | 67c | 305.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Warriors | 69c | 304.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Warriors | 66c | 303.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Warriors | 67c | 299.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.