TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fokinaof Ruud, Fokina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Fokina53c21,001$11,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,835.558,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ruud65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50037450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Fokina35c9,619$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.351,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fokina37c9,569$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.6865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ruud34c9,157$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.5924544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Ruud65c8,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Fokina34c7,175$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,728.0413934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ruud40c5,922$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Ruud66c5,606$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Ruud9c5,555$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Ruud66c4,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.996549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Fokina64c4,129$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.6737540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Ruud65c3,828$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.6133256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…27bdbacked Ruud34c3,054$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.07147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-85.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Fokina58c2,584$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.982,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Fokina71c2,385$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.997653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Fokina36c1,471$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c5…f211backed Fokina38c1,364$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.612339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud38c1,221$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.371,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Ruud69c1,200$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Ruud63c1,144$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.479546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Ruud65c1,078$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.732448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Ruud17c1,055$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3719131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Ruud62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Ruud65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Fokina34c943.88$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.9617823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Fokina35c856.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Fokina35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Fokina37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50425244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Ruud42c711$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.111943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Ruud37c681.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Ruud65c639.18$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fokina63c631.27$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Fokina61c609.26$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8315832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Fokina40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Ruud32c589.76$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7210060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Ruud52c576.95$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Ruud29c510.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cef…0d49backed Ruud2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Fokina35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32511843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Fokina35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Fokina41c487$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.681,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Ruud66c423.88$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.762147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Ruud31c400$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Ruud59c400$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7207…82e3backed Ruud65c391.74$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Fokina40c358.47$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.269462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Fokina57c353.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.47957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…4c5ebacked Fokina58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Ruud66c334.68$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.892462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked Ruud33c327.14$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd65e…5cc1backed Ruud5c319.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Fokina35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1956126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Fokina35c299.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Ruud49c280$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.14461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde7…e29fbacked Ruud5c242.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Ruud63c218.92$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Fokina37c216.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.226737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Ruud33c212.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Fokina37c202.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.746752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8b…21d7backed Fokina37c202.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.72356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Ruud53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Ruud66c181.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Fokina34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4736047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f12…66f8backed Ruud18c174$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Ruud58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf225…f863backed Ruud12c170.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…b56cbacked Ruud59c169.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Ruud65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Ruud65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Ruud66c152.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Ruud65c152.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7812161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Ruud66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Ruud66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed Ruud66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Ruud66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd90…f217backed Ruud66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Ruud66c149.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2571857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Ruud67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Fokina33c149.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10052844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Ruud66c146.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd046…cbe5backed Fokina35c144.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.161225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ruud62c123.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7118…f6adbacked Ruud53c112.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Ruud65c112$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.94351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Ruud55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Fokina38c104.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.78557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Ruud57c101.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5449749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Ruud43c100.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.984163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Ruud65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Fokina36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6410846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f5…009bbacked Fokina32c94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Ruud33c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Fokina37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0811533.9%39 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Fokina37c81.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0511215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ruud61c79.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5262742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27a…8e96backed Fokina37c77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Ruud65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Ruud66c75.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be8…a2edbacked Ruud66c75.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.