MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd32de54884f45fe9931e2d2bff17dacb3f2991736ce8b5d0bd39777391bf72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 56c | 182,334$101,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,370.7 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 44c | 125,276$55,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,115.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 27c | 7,118$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 6c | 6,576$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 59c | 5,724$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 44c | 5,561$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.84 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 44c | 5,066$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Pirates | 44c | 5,007$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 57c | 4,519$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.9 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 44c | 4,444$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.36 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Brewers | 56c | 3,936$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 45c | 3,560$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 16c | 2,734$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 45c | 2,647$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 56c | 2,574$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.34 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 44c | 2,539$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.09 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pirates | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Pirates | 11c | 1,356$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 41c | 1,322$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.01 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 2c | 1,209$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,200$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.27 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,170$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Pirates | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Pirates | 41c | 1,067$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.46 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,064$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Brewers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pirates | 44c | 960$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 42c | 952$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 39c | 881.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 56c | 761.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 77c | 675.44$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 56c | 650$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Brewers | 56c | 530.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 45c | 431.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Brewers | 59c | 416.95$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Pirates | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 60c | 333.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 13c | 323.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 39c | 266.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Pirates | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Brewers | 68c | 221.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 56c | 212.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 59c | 205.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…7beabacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…5866backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…c4ddbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…b05ebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…feabbacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…b430backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.