Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736070f2e687e81dbd986845289dd180e2fbc70548bc2e8aff148ceadda15c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 48c | 1,341$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed IU Indy Jaguars | 41c | 1,235$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed IU Indy Jaguars | 36c | 972$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 39c | 819$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…7d09backed IU Indy Jaguars | 36c | 764$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…ab8fbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 32c | 703$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…1ccbbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 660$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…376dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 638$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 10c | 637$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 626$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…f89fbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 599$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked IU Indy Jaguars | 39c | 590$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…94b7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 580$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…2d86backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 570$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…0703backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…6879backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 494$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 10c | 471$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…a0d2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 454$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 411$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 407.13$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 75c | 399.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…3260backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 380$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68c | 374$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 353$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…b515backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 329$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68c | 329$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…155dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 309$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 302$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…0318backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…3c28backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 297$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…501abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 290$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…83d4backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…1e91backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…8ebdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…ae14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…d12ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…243fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…daa0backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IU Indy Jaguars | 20c | 224.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed IU Indy Jaguars | 39c | 219$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 66c | 208.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed IU Indy Jaguars | 33c | 197$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 181$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 59c | 170$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 66c | 151.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 143$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed IU Indy Jaguars | 12c | 133.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed IU Indy Jaguars | 34c | 127$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 40c | 126.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…3fd1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 87.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 83.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 64.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…efa4backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 73c | 54.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 48.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed IU Indy Jaguars | 62c | 42.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…98e2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 28.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 80c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 52c | 24.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…721ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 16.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.