TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross Crusaders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dartmouth Big Greenof Dartmouth Big Green, Holy Cross Crusaders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7178…0c07backed Holy Cross Crusaders51c18,462$9,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,347.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Dartmouth Big Green53c7,795$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.032,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…31b9backed Dartmouth Big Green49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dartmouth Big Green51c3,793$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Holy Cross Crusaders48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green49c1,525$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Dartmouth Big Green50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green52c697.42$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.281,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Holy Cross Crusaders32c675.33$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.241,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Holy Cross Crusaders49c607.72$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.852556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dartmouth Big Green51c605.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.941,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dartmouth Big Green50c529.75$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.761,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e2…4693backed Dartmouth Big Green51c504.68$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Holy Cross Crusaders38c500$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.081,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Dartmouth Big Green57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dartmouth Big Green51c486.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.892,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Dartmouth Big Green54c469.44$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders48c399.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19229444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Holy Cross Crusaders48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Dartmouth Big Green56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Dartmouth Big Green52c286.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5417650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Dartmouth Big Green59c255$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Dartmouth Big Green54c250.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.579729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Dartmouth Big Green52c238.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.862630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Holy Cross Crusaders44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-66.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Holy Cross Crusaders49c205.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dartmouth Big Green50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Dartmouth Big Green53c180.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.871154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked Dartmouth Big Green52c165$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.052458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Holy Cross Crusaders49c159.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Dartmouth Big Green53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.941926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Dartmouth Big Green69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dartmouth Big Green51c112$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.671,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dartmouth Big Green60c106.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.891,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd466…0706backed Dartmouth Big Green57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Dartmouth Big Green52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Dartmouth Big Green52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9a…db3fbacked Dartmouth Big Green57c98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Holy Cross Crusaders49c97.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.731656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Holy Cross Crusaders47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d17…4e19backed Holy Cross Crusaders65c76.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Dartmouth Big Green53c74.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9821830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Holy Cross Crusaders56c71.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Holy Cross Crusaders35c66.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.115152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Dartmouth Big Green48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.763040%12 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders25c54.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.333956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Dartmouth Big Green53c41.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.732850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Holy Cross Crusaders49c40.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dartmouth Big Green51c40.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Dartmouth Big Green51c38.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.922650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Dartmouth Big Green52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4610048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…e0e1backed Holy Cross Crusaders49c35.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Holy Cross Crusaders30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.543,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616b…b973backed Holy Cross Crusaders48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders54c31.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Dartmouth Big Green80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.274240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58a0…d7cabacked Holy Cross Crusaders65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c48…28cbbacked Dartmouth Big Green75c26.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Dartmouth Big Green78c26.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.829871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7531…3f6fbacked Dartmouth Big Green51c23.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x176a…7c26backed Holy Cross Crusaders49c23.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbff…96a8backed Dartmouth Big Green52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9c…aab4backed Dartmouth Big Green52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.