TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Green Bay Phoenix

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Green Bay Phoenixof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, Green Bay Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e6…025bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos51c33,237$16,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,960.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Green Bay Phoenix48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6721636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Green Bay Phoenix48c7,717$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.7790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Green Bay Phoenix54c6,442$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.221,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Green Bay Phoenix29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,55030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix55c2,795$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.313,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Green Bay Phoenix61c2,652$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.037758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos71c2,367$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.665,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos29c1,393$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.392,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc825…b616backed Green Bay Phoenix80c1,355$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos71c974.13$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos62c655.84$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Green Bay Phoenix38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37229444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos23c585.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.781315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Green Bay Phoenix66c534$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.722,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Green Bay Phoenix48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos38c479.4$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.671,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Green Bay Phoenix54c350.66$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4215939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos26c287.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Green Bay Phoenix50c287.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.331,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Green Bay Phoenix59c276.31$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.171,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix57c264.76$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.572,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos55c218$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.91,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Green Bay Phoenix52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Green Bay Phoenix31c186$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.617553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Green Bay Phoenix30c180$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos50c172$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.281,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Green Bay Phoenix64c138.6$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.882556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos19c136.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9121830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Green Bay Phoenix77c124$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.66373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix51c120.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.843,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Green Bay Phoenix70c114.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.969871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe14b…1ad3backed Green Bay Phoenix66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos33c105.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Green Bay Phoenix70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Green Bay Phoenix28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Green Bay Phoenix31c98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.627255.6%40 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Green Bay Phoenix31c94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.866253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Green Bay Phoenix45c87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.851,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos15c86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos52c77.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.681,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Green Bay Phoenix78c76.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.871,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7944…4f13backed Green Bay Phoenix67c72.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos47c70.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Green Bay Phoenix33c63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.213647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Green Bay Phoenix33c62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.543452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a8…4130backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos53c52.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Green Bay Phoenix48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Green Bay Phoenix48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2615453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53650%18 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos69c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.364344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa933…4e84backed Green Bay Phoenix68c36.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x176a…7c26backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos64c34.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bbc…02f3backed Green Bay Phoenix36c34.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos71c34.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.375,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Green Bay Phoenix36c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.124445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos69c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.084148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos69c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.392055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos67c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.772948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Green Bay Phoenix40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Green Bay Phoenix34c29.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.664,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos67c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Green Bay Phoenix77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.253762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos69c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos67c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.062850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos67c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos67c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.353056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Green Bay Phoenix77c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0317546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.