TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Detroit Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Detroit Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bab…53e6backed Detroit Titans41c1,233$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Detroit Titans41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41060548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Detroit Titans41c981$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.211,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons59c751.69$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.191,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons70c664.83$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.918654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons54c565.09$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons59c531$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7191848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons59c380.23$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c372.96$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.187451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c338.93$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.614,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c275$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons41c269.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.221,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfe…3f04backed Detroit Titans39c263$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f1…6b72backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c5…b34bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…a34cbacked Detroit Titans39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Detroit Titans42c241$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2211347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Titans37c215.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.643,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Titans36c166.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons61c153.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.521,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Detroit Titans51c112.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons59c77.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Detroit Titans41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9325436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Detroit Titans43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.574,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons59c63.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Detroit Titans40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Detroit Titans40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Detroit Titans44c49.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Detroit Titans41c48.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Detroit Titans36c42.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Detroit Titans55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Detroit Titans40c36.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4e…8fd4backed Detroit Titans39c33.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Detroit Titans41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Detroit Titans40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c28.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.372,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36f…cd17backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…f83cbacked Detroit Titans42c25.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x176a…7c26backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons58c25.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85fb…462fbacked Detroit Titans64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ba…4d28backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.595160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c23.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.494443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons60c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8bd…3fe2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons58c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons61c16.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.543554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.