TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Wagner Seahawks, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c11,095$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.4378155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights41c3,226$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.0418147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Wagner Seahawks56c2,850$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5961526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wagner Seahawks55c2,582$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Wagner Seahawks55c2,427$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c1,828$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.963,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Wagner Seahawks57c1,623$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.2849746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wagner Seahawks2c1,533$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.783993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wagner Seahawks56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72826254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wagner Seahawks57c1,129$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.714,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights54c1,011$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.495858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Wagner Seahawks59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights51c999.81$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.912,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wagner Seahawks57c931.24$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5295759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Wagner Seahawks55c892.11$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.1499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Wagner Seahawks59c837.32$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Wagner Seahawks50c764.49$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38511747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights46c717.07$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.741,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Wagner Seahawks42c693.8$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.987058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c688.11$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8113746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c489$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.621,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Wagner Seahawks44c432.75$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4175447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Wagner Seahawks42c431.04$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0439744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights41c429.67$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5912617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Wagner Seahawks44c391.18$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.129442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c377.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.119144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c349.43$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wagner Seahawks52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights70c293.72$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c265.36$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.282,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Wagner Seahawks55c263.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.353148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks23c231.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wagner Seahawks35c228.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights57c228.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.215851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights40c226.63$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.071,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights57c213$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Wagner Seahawks55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Wagner Seahawks55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wagner Seahawks49c195.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.222,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights70c182.76$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights41c170$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9644955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Wagner Seahawks42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6327048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights68c128.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.372254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Wagner Seahawks43c115.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Wagner Seahawks28c105.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.229954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6934…713abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights46c101$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wagner Seahawks43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c94.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Wagner Seahawks55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights40c85.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4329012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Wagner Seahawks61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wagner Seahawks34c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…0348backed Wagner Seahawks60c66.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Wagner Seahawks50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Wagner Seahawks57c54.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3414035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a8…8448backed Wagner Seahawks51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wagner Seahawks42c44.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Wagner Seahawks46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.246114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked Wagner Seahawks55c41.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c40.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed Wagner Seahawks55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wagner Seahawks58c37.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.784,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights71c33.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights43c32.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6410151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4105…1128backed Wagner Seahawks50c30.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Wagner Seahawks49c28.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Wagner Seahawks49c28.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8419332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Wagner Seahawks55c26.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Wagner Seahawks59c23.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…68f6backed Wagner Seahawks55c23.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x176a…7c26backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c23.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fec…1c3fbacked Wagner Seahawks44c23.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…9055backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Wagner Seahawks61c18.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.