Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba09c0e0ebb1cb2857ca3c31106ba6cc7b6b80c21b7ea011db2cb32560369e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 18,146$9,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.51 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 8,344$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,961$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,715$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 1,963$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 469$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 385$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 45c | 325.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 275$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 55.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed Over | 48c | 41.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 49c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Over | 48c | 30.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 22.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 140.5this page
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-3.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-4.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-6.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsFairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 139.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 141.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.