MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42d7ac10ed8381a08cf45b61ed32e0f055fd60681d84f925c1c8e36ac3c6472e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Phillies, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,083,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,045,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,083,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 57c | 1,576,146$899,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899,050.15 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 782,008$349,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432,052.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 300,785$125,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,045.68 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 250,000$105,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 112,451$46,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,352.18 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 90,735$40,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,854.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 71,011$29,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,655.25 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 50,939$22,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,016.44 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 40,000$16,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 38,489$16,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,895.23 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 38,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,900 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 20,000$8,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,152.78 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 18,359$8,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100.31 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Phillies | 55c | 17,619$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690.46 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 15,555$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.77 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 15,500$6,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,914.85 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 23c | 12,609$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 11,005$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.02 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 10,600$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.41 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 10,600$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.41 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 10,552$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.75 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Phillies | 51c | 8,200$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Phillies | 56c | 8,036$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 7,720$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.4 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,695$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,699$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.42 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,642$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,636$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 5,529$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Phillies | 55c | 5,423$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.81 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,411$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,629$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.33 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,464$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.34 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 4,133$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.86 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,963$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.19 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,560$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,500$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 1c | 2,740$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,698$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.67 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Phillies | 56c | 2,600$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,600$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…480bbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,274$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Phillies | 53c | 2,115$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,023$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.49 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.01 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,826$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.47 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,350$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,350$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.4 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,345$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.63 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Phillies | 6c | 1,257$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,152$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.01 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,151$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,049$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.43 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Phillies | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,010$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.82 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Phillies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 959.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.7 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Phillies | 56c | 955.77$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.23 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Phillies | 55c | 933.64$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…673fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 933.41$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Phillies | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 8c | 761.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Phillies | 46c | 755.41$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 733$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.15 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 689.54$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.87 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Phillies | 47c | 659.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 625$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Phillies | 11c | 599.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 573.39$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Phillies | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 510$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Phillies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 499.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.49 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 480.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 473.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 471.8$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Phillies | 55c | 450$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 56c | 439.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 404$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Phillies | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Phillies | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 353.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 338$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 52c | 322.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…10e2backed Phillies | 27c | 310.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Phillies | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.