Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont Catamounts vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617fc7417649a9cc480c099ceabf7205644422b2e0d708882dadf0195a5db338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof Vermont Catamounts, Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 34c | 680$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vermont Catamounts | 68c | 537.85$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 63c | 488.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 457.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 25c | 399.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 373.43$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 35c | 299$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 34c | 288.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 36c | 281.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 37c | 251.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 33c | 232.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 207.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 35c | 193$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 11c | 184.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Vermont Catamounts | 68c | 181$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vermont Catamounts | 72c | 168.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…f941backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 14c | 152.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 149.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 126.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 34c | 115.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 109.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 32c | 107.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 36c | 89.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 75.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 60.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 60.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…3195backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 24c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 37c | 47.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 38.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 34.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 35c | 30.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 36c | 27.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 24.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 20.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…89dcbacked Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…7ab7backed Vermont Catamounts | 69c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…c705backed Vermont Catamounts | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Vermont Catamounts | 71c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Vermont Catamounts | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Vermont Catamounts | 72c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksthis page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-4.5)Vermont Catamounts won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.