Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Connecticut Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46abe60225b9e5994a06c3a0da7236eaf4b4f7367059d39e83697ac9f84428de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Huskiesof Illinois Fighting Illini, Connecticut Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 14c | 8,745$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.44 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 15c | 8,334$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 15c | 5,866$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.84 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Connecticut Huskies | 66c | 3,971$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 2,265$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.67 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Huskies | 63c | 2,194$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 24c | 1,856$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Connecticut Huskies | 65c | 1,203$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.52 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Connecticut Huskies | 66c | 1,020$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 18c | 973.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 17c | 930$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 34c | 922$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…3549backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 5c | 800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies | 62c | 491.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 467$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 10c | 421.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Connecticut Huskies | 64c | 419$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 407.87$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 29c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 16c | 313.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 308.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 35c | 287.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 30c | 265$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 15c | 229.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Connecticut Huskies | 78c | 178.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 33c | 168$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…1806backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 26c | 113.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…2becbacked Connecticut Huskies | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 27c | 92.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 50.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Connecticut Huskies | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 36c | 35.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…18b0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed Connecticut Huskies | 60c | 26.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 39c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…721ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 25.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Connecticut Huskies | 60c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Connecticut Huskies | 64c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Connecticut Huskies | 63c | 21.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed Connecticut Huskies | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Connecticut Huskiesthis page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)Connecticut Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.