MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24cf2234bb73c3c1b2164875597762e1501190ec128a01ec530e330153038215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Red Sox, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 199,410$97,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,192.97 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 41,573$21,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,617.96 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 40,491$20,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,650.43 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 35,460$18,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,770.04 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 33,820$17,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,586.4 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 25,222$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,115.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 51c | 24,098$12,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,289.05 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Sox | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 17,304$8,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,825.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Red Sox | 49c | 10,207$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.31 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 37c | 9,238$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 8,982$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.72 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 8,400$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 52c | 7,605$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.42 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 6,292$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.45 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Red Sox | 38c | 5,663$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 4,895$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,641$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,388$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.32 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 3,032$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.35 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Red Sox | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,472$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.44 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Red Sox | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,714$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.64 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,293$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.39 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Red Sox | 11c | 1,255$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.51 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,004$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.08 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 799.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 779.75$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 35c | 765.43$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Red Sox | 32c | 661.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Red Sox | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 600.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Red Sox | 9c | 580.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 52c | 577$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 569$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 568$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Red Sox | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 22c | 454.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…672bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 451.23$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 35c | 450$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Red Sox | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b3…0158backed Red Sox | 50c | 344.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 52c | 339.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Red Sox | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 312.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 281.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 39c | 280.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 264.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Red Sox | 31c | 247.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 72c | 243.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 22c | 224.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 50c | 223.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 52c | 222.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…88e4backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…da85backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Red Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Red Sox | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Red Sox | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…69f4backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…1038backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 158.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Red Sox | 52c | 153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…4ef4backed Red Sox | 52c | 138.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ad39backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…3ccabacked Red Sox | 52c | 130.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 130.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Red Sox | 50c | 125.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…22adbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 51c | 97.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…5907backed Red Sox | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 81.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 15c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Red Sox | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.