Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5c0cac36da3c2a2ceceeeb6ca6d79494f1bdb4fcaa01b66f599dce6b764693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 721.82$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 46c | 554.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 456$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 35c | 439$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 415.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 252.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty Flames | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 46c | 151.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liberty Flames | 61c | 141.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 124.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Liberty Flames | 66c | 103.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 90.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 22c | 57.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 50.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Liberty Flames | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Liberty Flames | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…64abbacked Liberty Flames | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.