TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Marinersof New York Mets, Seattle Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,209,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,541,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,209,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd959…daf7backed Seattle Mariners58c356,860$206,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,663.914151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets42c277,962$116,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,744.1923948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Mets43c200,000$86,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,999.8221040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners57c46,600$26,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,03815451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners57c23,634$13,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,162.6292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcafd…1ab0backed New York Mets24c23,413$5,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,575.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets40c21,480$8,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,544.551,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners57c21,111$12,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,077.7338148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets43c18,000$7,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,74098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners67c13,933$9,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,629.4211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners58c12,614$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,297.881,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked New York Mets28c10,537$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9421242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed Seattle Mariners60c8,353$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.332536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners57c8,200$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.111,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners58c8,061$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.741,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners57c7,777$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.1147953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners64c7,416$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.542,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets28c6,966$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.378,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed New York Mets44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Seattle Mariners57c6,581$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners77c6,462$4,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.298,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Mariners72c6,157$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.1646239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners75c6,143$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.9210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners71c5,563$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Seattle Mariners57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1505435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed New York Mets43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets29c4,750$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.776,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners71c4,507$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.434,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets9c4,233$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.512,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed New York Mets19c3,283$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Seattle Mariners61c3,232$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.812969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets26c3,124$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.9614152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets40c3,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21024639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2902,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Mets42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked New York Mets26c2,666$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Seattle Mariners58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0507451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.9860043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Seattle Mariners57c2,458$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.9728850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners57c2,194$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.236,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners69c2,057$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.582,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Seattle Mariners60c1,990$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.9223357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.072,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners56c1,883$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4617452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets29c1,696$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1297050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets42c1,620$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.991,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners69c1,597$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.671,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed New York Mets19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63043253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed New York Mets27c1,476$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners73c1,474$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets28c1,435$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.621,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2849158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Seattle Mariners58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.122257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…2bfabacked New York Mets44c1,218$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets25c1,210$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Seattle Mariners62c1,195$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.279245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets42c1,155$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.221,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners69c1,150$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets43c1,140$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets26c1,113$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.21,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners70c1,088$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.121,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed New York Mets29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29019248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed New York Mets43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43021052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Mets37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37029547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Seattle Mariners57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43010846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets41c999.97$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets42c945.59$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.552,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed New York Mets41c923.41$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37812848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked New York Mets22c905.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1711129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners57c899.26$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6824448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets42c870$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.61,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners57c843.72$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.593,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets5c780.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners57c779$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9769453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed New York Mets37c774.58$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8421841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed New York Mets42c756.78$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0563644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets42c740$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.11,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners57c737$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.912,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Seattle Mariners72c730.93$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.666467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf518…07bcbacked New York Mets44c719.1$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.43218.8%6 W · 26 L-7.4wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets29c702.7$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.882,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Seattle Mariners60c701$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6827450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Seattle Mariners57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30123152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x416b…cbd5backed New York Mets18c685.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets26c666.6$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.325,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets42c650$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.71,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked New York Mets31c647.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6966056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Seattle Mariners60c630.95$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.387256.9%41 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f3…4fcfbacked Seattle Mariners57c627.56$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8517954.2%97 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners80c626.68$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.919,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners57c599.14$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6337748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed New York Mets3c595.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.989639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed New York Mets43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked New York Mets43c576.33$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.826944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.