MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300efb6f8aee02cb55d9995fee67f9f163d3644fbe9bd2f2fd9bbf629f04f280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof New York Mets, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,209,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,541,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,209,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 356,860$206,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,663.91 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 42c | 277,962$116,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,744.19 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Mets | 43c | 200,000$86,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,999.82 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 46,600$26,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,038 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 23,634$13,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,162.62 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…1ab0backed New York Mets | 24c | 23,413$5,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 40c | 21,480$8,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,544.55 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 21,111$12,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,077.73 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 43c | 18,000$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,740 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 13,933$9,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.42 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 12,614$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked New York Mets | 28c | 10,537$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.94 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 8,353$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 8,200$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 8,061$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 7,777$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.11 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 7,416$4,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.54 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 28c | 6,966$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed New York Mets | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 6,581$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 6,462$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 6,157$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.16 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 6,143$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 5,563$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.2 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Mets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 29c | 4,750$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 4,507$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 9c | 4,233$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.51 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed New York Mets | 19c | 3,283$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,232$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.81 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets | 26c | 3,124$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.96 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets | 40c | 3,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.95 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked New York Mets | 26c | 2,666$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.98 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,458$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.97 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,194$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 2,057$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,990$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.92 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.07 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,883$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.46 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 29c | 1,696$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,620$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,597$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed New York Mets | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed New York Mets | 27c | 1,476$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 1,474$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 28c | 1,435$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.28 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…2bfabacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,218$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,210$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,195$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.27 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,155$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.22 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,150$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets | 43c | 1,140$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.78 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 26c | 1,113$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 1,088$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed New York Mets | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed New York Mets | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Mets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets | 42c | 945.59$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.55 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed New York Mets | 41c | 923.41$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Mets | 22c | 905.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 899.26$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.68 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 42c | 870$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 843.72$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets | 5c | 780.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 779$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.97 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed New York Mets | 37c | 774.58$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed New York Mets | 42c | 756.78$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 42c | 740$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 737$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 730.93$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked New York Mets | 44c | 719.1$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 29c | 702.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 701$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…cbd5backed New York Mets | 18c | 685.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 26c | 666.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked New York Mets | 31c | 647.48$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 630.95$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 627.56$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 626.68$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 599.14$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed New York Mets | 3c | 595.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked New York Mets | 43c | 576.33$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 13.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.