MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa33fcb7265b08530da5e60319201c7bb67857a7955147cb316d7f8106fc6c2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof KT Wiz, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KT Wiz | 52c | 2,196$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.14 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 17c | 1,127$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed SSG Landers | 48c | 800$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 46c | 764.63$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.78 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed KT Wiz | 54c | 570$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 64c | 397.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…89abbacked KT Wiz | 11c | 320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 46c | 299.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 53c | 263.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 22c | 260.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed SSG Landers | 47c | 240.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 23c | 234.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked KT Wiz | 53c | 187.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…e3c3backed SSG Landers | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 8c | 145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 47c | 134.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 19c | 121$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked KT Wiz | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed KT Wiz | 50c | 119.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 52c | 96.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SSG Landers | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked SSG Landers | 64c | 77.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 69.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed KT Wiz | 32c | 69.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed SSG Landers | 49c | 65.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 47c | 57.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed SSG Landers | 47c | 52.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 52c | 48.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 47c | 48.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…095fbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 41.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed KT Wiz | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed SSG Landers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed SSG Landers | 53c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed SSG Landers | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed SSG Landers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked SSG Landers | 63c | 25.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 24.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed SSG Landers | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed KT Wiz | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked SSG Landers | 78c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.