MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6be76e767e239f426f86179a8aad260aa8f4f6bef5d9b58816e075bc9a9c02

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $121,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	46c	89,939$41,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,371.75	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	54c	66,395$35,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,541.81	321	52%167 W · 154 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under	54c	23,202$12,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,672.85	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	61c	3,795$2,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.14	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	61c	3,376$2,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.38	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	52c	2,861$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,476.85	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	31c	2,621$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.84	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	47c	1,800$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	1,626$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.13	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b36…56cebacked Over	40c	1,470$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.59	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	51c	1,445$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.46	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	1,100$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.01	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	48c	827.95$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.95	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	54c	800$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	650.82$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.65	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	57c	445.74$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.06	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8133…3109backed Over	47c	419.58$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.19	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	60c	387.53$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.52	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under	54c	364.94$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.45	197	52.3%103 W · 94 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	54.7%99 W · 82 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	191	53.9%103 W · 88 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	54c	275$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.45	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	49c	244.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under	63c	217.65$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.47	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under	54c	195.37$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.87	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	30c	192.53$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.56	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf338…ef9abacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	46c	145.5$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.93	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	61c	145.47$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.68	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Under	63c	125.1$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.24	324	50.9%165 W · 159 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	41c	114$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	54c	108.49$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.65	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	35c	103$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over	33c	102.63$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.82	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Under	54c	92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.32	147	59.9%88 W · 59 L	+14.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	54c	89.47$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.36	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	65c	87.92$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.87	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	13c	78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	570	46.8%267 W · 303 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	49c	75.1$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.44	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	321	57%183 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630a…f06bbacked Over	47c	71.91$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-8.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	46c	68.62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.57	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Under	68c	51.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	46c	47.84$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	63c	47.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…600fbacked Under	54c	46.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.55	122	60.7%74 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	55c	46.61$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.97	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f57…a4c0backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadaa…7e29backed Over	55c	45.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	53c	43.39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over	47c	41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under	54c	37.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	313	43.5%136 W · 177 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	222	54.1%120 W · 102 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under	63c	31.14$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0529…44bbbacked Over	46c	31.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f2…d85fbacked Under	54c	30.56$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	63c	29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.73	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe250…ea7abacked Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over	48c	27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	167	34.7%58 W · 109 L	-17.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Over	47c	25.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under	63c	23.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.9	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286c…f34ebacked Under	54c	22.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.53	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	55c	22.18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	704	55%387 W · 317 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under	69c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.58	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked Over	54c	21.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Under	66c	16.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersHouston Astros won
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event