Asian League · resolved market
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7a255c8e8b754a40c6af16bc316ae757a3541cd979ad89770c4b6c124c4613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 62c | 43,733$27,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,075.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 9,349$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.52 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 7,223$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.45 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 38c | 6,711$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.79 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 6,300$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.08 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 60c | 3,401$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 2,696$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.69 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,579$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,127$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 38c | 1,711$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.52 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,504$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.5 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 73c | 1,475$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.78 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 904.38$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.76 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 24c | 828.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 821.83$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 801.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 67c | 780.6$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 627.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.27 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 21c | 604.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 404.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 337$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 44c | 297.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 37c | 269.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 62c | 248$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked No | 27c | 177.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 158.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 40c | 157.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 39c | 155.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 144.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 69c | 142.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 61c | 122.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 38c | 109.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 64c | 109.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 10c | 101.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 58c | 92.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 38c | 86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 38c | 80.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 80.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 59c | 68.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…313ebacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 39c | 61.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 57c | 59.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 66c | 59.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 59.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 72c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…8e03backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 38c | 41.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 50c | 37.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 38c | 33.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 51c | 32.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed Yes | 78c | 29.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…1fa4backed Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Yes | 63c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…bee9backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.