Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae422384a2fad75df26863b1f2be6e6297f5a69391c3ba212a78553d8d498e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 5,002$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.9 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.96 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 1,376$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.14 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 67c | 909.91$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.27 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 908.82$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 67c | 599.93$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 66c | 591.93$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.26 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 482.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 471.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 34c | 402.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 67c | 399.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 300.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 280.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8588backed Yes | 16c | 270.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 67c | 259.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 67c | 259.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 14c | 218.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 207.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 66c | 172.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 67c | 159.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 67c | 156$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 67c | 155.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 137.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 67c | 133.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 33c | 125.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 33c | 121.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 118.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 113.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 15c | 75.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 33c | 69.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 33c | 56.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 32.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 77c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.