MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede0e94191c843c5d668a500a020adbe4c96fd21309fd9ee1b508fcc645de909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 51c | 25,282$12,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,392.39 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 16,922$9,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,280.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 16,418$8,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,032.38 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 47c | 16,316$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 12,964$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.98 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 42c | 10,417$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,043.55 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 42c | 9,354$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Athletics | 37c | 8,159$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.7 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 57c | 6,375$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 5,515$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 5,039$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.18 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 4,514$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,205$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ce46backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 4,138$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 3,827$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,605$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.6 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,321$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 50c | 3,000$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 54c | 2,979$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,698$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.47 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 2,651$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.53 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 54c | 2,255$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 38c | 2,160$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,127$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.85 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,119$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 37c | 2,109$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,632$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 1,619$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,604$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.95 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 58c | 1,537$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,511$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Athletics | 68c | 1,478$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,404$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,281$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,263$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.25 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,260$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.68 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,017$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,007$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Athletics | 47c | 930.27$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.04 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Athletics | 71c | 919.99$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Athletics | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Athletics | 52c | 775.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.43 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 760.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Athletics | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Athletics | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 46c | 629.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.08 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 625$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6a6fbacked Athletics | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 600.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 599.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Athletics | 47c | 590$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Athletics | 46c | 585.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 575.4$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Athletics | 47c | 539.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.95 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 523.53$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.23 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Athletics | 67c | 504$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 42c | 475.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 40c | 469.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 456.38$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 44c | 451.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 440.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 435.95$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 431.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Athletics | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 423.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics | 33c | 400.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Athletics | 46c | 399.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 391.24$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Athletics | 67c | 378$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 46c | 370.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 367.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 47c | 357.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 356.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 47c | 340$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 339.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 332.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 332.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 327$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 47c | 320$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 316.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Athletics | 46c | 304.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 290.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Athletics | 69c | 285.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…45e5backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 281.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 276.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Athletics | 37c | 266.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 60c | 255.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Athletics | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.