MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9a27f63592e73683e37a6e0c88f1e254700911a3edd06b63a6d0f9513d94b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Kansas City Royals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 114,430$54,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,511.9 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 51,000$23,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,969.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 35,848$18,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,001.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 32,804$17,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,089.94 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 28,219$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,430.6 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 18,449$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,115.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 13,801$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 12,048$6,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003.74 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…1ab0backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 11,542$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 11,419$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.3 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 10,457$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,336.81 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 9,492$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 9,448$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 7,800$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.96 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 7,499$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 6,219$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.55 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 5,432$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,385$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,016$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.68 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 4,600$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.49 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 4,513$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 4,099$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.87 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 3,750$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.66 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 3,599$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.72 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,331$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,070$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,772$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.52 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,675$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,595$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.42 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 2,326$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.5 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,308$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.92 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,078$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,950$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.47 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,843$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.88 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,800$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,616$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.46 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,566$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.14 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,524$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,515$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,498$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 1,486$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,480$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.2 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,436$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,380$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.79 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 1,210$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.7 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,157$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.21 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,127$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 1,067$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,014$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 992.56$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 910.62$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 860.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.19 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 835.19$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 809.2$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.42 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 786.32$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.57 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 779$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.41 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 779$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 767.36$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.26 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 736.04$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 697.49$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 672.34$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 620$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 590.75$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 567$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 543.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 540.84$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 533.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.96 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 530.97$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 522.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 516.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 513$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 494.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 478.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…3909backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 420.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 403.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.78 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 388.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.