Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c0c2e585453df8278248aacc51b273b91edd8db09f9aebb9297cc5df26f1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 80c | 133,944$106,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,948.37 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 15c | 32,902$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021.26 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked OG | 18c | 25,000$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.7 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 20c | 24,662$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed OG | 23c | 21,110$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.28 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 18,027$12,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.71 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked OG | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 80c | 14,799$11,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.75 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 27c | 14,456$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.57 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 80c | 14,011$11,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.23 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 70c | 13,486$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.29 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed OG | 19c | 12,362$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.78 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed OG | 20c | 11,747$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 13c | 10,914$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.38 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed OG | 31c | 10,400$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.99 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 20c | 10,182$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.02 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed OG | 12c | 8,488$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked OG | 13c | 8,162$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 79c | 7,556$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.33 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 7,076$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.36 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked OG | 20c | 7,068$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.3 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 6,466$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.99 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 77c | 6,338$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.94 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 17c | 6,121$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.88 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Liquid | 76c | 6,071$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.71 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 21c | 5,309$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.75 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 21c | 4,674$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed OG | 20c | 4,605$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.32 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 19c | 4,250$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Liquid | 71c | 3,878$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.52 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed OG | 10c | 3,846$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…8fc9backed OG | 10c | 3,846$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 16c | 3,834$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked OG | 3c | 3,803$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 20c | 3,785$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.51 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked OG | 13c | 3,427$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 19c | 3,034$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed OG | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed OG | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 14c | 2,962$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 18c | 2,920$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.19 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Liquid | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 30c | 2,565$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.89 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,477$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Team Liquid | 69c | 2,447$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked OG | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked OG | 16c | 1,993$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.46 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 20c | 1,954$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked OG | 16c | 1,876$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked OG | 30c | 1,873$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.09 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 20c | 1,789$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.13 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OG | 18c | 1,776$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,750$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,681$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,675$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.25 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed OG | 16c | 1,639$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…0ddabacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,581$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 22c | 1,577$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 29c | 1,383$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed OG | 9c | 1,325$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked OG | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed OG | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 17c | 1,156$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked OG | 21c | 1,139$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked OG | 26c | 1,093$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 1,052$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 12c | 1,046$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 11c | 1,020$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,008$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked OG | 20c | 1,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed OG | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d916backed Team Liquid | 69c | 972$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked OG | 21c | 964$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 11c | 962.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed OG | 20c | 937$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 917$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 19c | 901.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Team Liquid | 70c | 899.1$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked OG | 20c | 896$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f4…bb20backed OG | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed OG | 29c | 785.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed OG | 31c | 767$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed OG | 31c | 727.91$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 21c | 716.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed OG | 14c | 696.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed OG | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed OG | 21c | 644.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked OG | 20c | 640$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed OG | 31c | 639.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed OG | 29c | 629.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed OG | 24c | 599.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Team Liquid | 70c | 590.29$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.