Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316343b5515c3dc4b1f2193bfe41bdaec0b41f49482a5a3ea9c69d1531eb906c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 2,165$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.58 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,509$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 1,233$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 79c | 1,010$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 957.63$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 813.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 661.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 18c | 158.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 59c | 81.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 76.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 59c | 74.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 68.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 67.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 41c | 66.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 59.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Over | 57c | 44.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 61c | 41.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 27.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 54c | 23.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.