Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01163533eef8ae753ce9e3af55acf89480c24066fdefeaeb909d78aad6e75be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 1c | 19,157$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,881.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,531$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 1,864$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.5 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b1…60efbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +2,500%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 46c | 689.59$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 28c | 548.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 65c | 499.92$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 74c | 405.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 210.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 141.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 126.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 31c | 120.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 10c | 119.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 18c | 111.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 18c | 111.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 19c | 106.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 20c | 60.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 60c | 46.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 41c | 40.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Under | 55c | 40.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 78c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 17.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 63c | 16.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.