TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87a1…b6babacked Over51c9,727$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c5,530$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.371,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c3,694$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.5819952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c3,180$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.3432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c2,796$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.3834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under55c1,804$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.46944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c1,768$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under50c1,096$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.833441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under45c973.33$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.895151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.932236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c876.47$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under49c792$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over45c745.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c628$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over52c615.36$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9815946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c609.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over46c609.54$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.83243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c586.17$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over51c570.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.966836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over45c568.13$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.664339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c553.7$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c540$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over45c530.78$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under60c515.96$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c510$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…d3f4backed Over54c456.35$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over52c452.36$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under49c449.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c333.77$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.569650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under49c301.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c298.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over50c279.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.546861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under51c270.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c217.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under46c207.09$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.038232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over48c206.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over54c206.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.558548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over47c206.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Over52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under49c129.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c106.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c56…4d8bbacked Under62c103.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6724953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under73c92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over46c85.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c81.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Over45c79.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under57c61.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c59.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.998242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c56.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x474e…b0fdbacked Over53c55.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.753655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.74940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under45c44.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over52c40.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.16842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under67c35.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.693366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under64c30.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.899542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.57552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over40c29.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5242347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.753060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c22.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.563847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…27d0backed Under56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102552%13 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Under72c19.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.