TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c19,320$6,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,873.92,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over58c8,199$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae06…c8c8backed Over54c7,775$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over76c4,486$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.652065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c3,518$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.281,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over70c2,390$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.9334239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over70c1,635$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.472763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over27c1,629$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.234339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over61c1,202$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.063663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under30c962.03$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.52944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under70c951.27$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over63c796.05$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.5114748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under53c741.05$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c573.79$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under24c500$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under54c463.48$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c454.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over66c333.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c274$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under56c254.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over74c234.41$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9931958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over61c199.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.991216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under23c170$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under42c158$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6414651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over55c135.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c129.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6122545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over39c124.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.448548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over11c118.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.452222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over17c114.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Over70c114.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-83.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under24c114$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6414258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under25c111.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.733020%6 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under41c93.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.953050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c93.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.161478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under25c90.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.225547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under14c88.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over73c78.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under23c77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.296836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over65c76.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over42c73.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Over73c71.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under42c65.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.033366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under23c63.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.881040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over30c56.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.767762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Over73c54.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Under28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.572642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under25c53.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.089045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under42c49.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8219154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over64c46.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Over66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over75c45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under27c42.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Over77c40.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.822171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c39.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…83d3backed Under32c38.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over32c37.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Over79c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over77c34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over48c31.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over77c31.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8421054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under46c30.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5811260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over76c30.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0081…dc8bbacked Over66c28.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over42c27.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over69c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1811268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.