Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00db956d406363ce26b2c8658082418d2fc7f1b1802a7446d1920834d9565ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 2,427$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,162$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.01 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 52c | 2,041$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.35 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.92 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 439.91$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed No | 53c | 418.76$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 385.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 49c | 331.04$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 326.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 49c | 308.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 51c | 259.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…1c94backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 47c | 204.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…86bebacked Yes | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 181.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 52c | 159.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 153.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 51c | 129.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 119.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Yes | 49c | 66.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 48c | 63.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 47.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 50c | 41.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 50c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 49c | 37.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 49c | 28.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed No | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.