Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01dbcbf01823f946ab2d1c587fa987e377909369d4263df5ca82f7b993d31d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac3c…d637backed No | 48c | 15,000$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,817.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…faf1backed Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes | 5c | 14,484$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.56 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 31c | 7,142$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.52 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 5c | 5,470$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f98…eb9ebacked No | 64c | 5,005$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…25f5backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed Yes | 4c | 4,118$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…923bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,044$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +7.2wins | +0.60per pick | 24cpaid | +398.6%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,521$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Yes | 7c | 2,514$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 0c | 2,496$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 75 | 13.3%10 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,850$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 11c | 1,836$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 28c | 1,801$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.45 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,770$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 829.63$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.98 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…0966backed No | 75c | 802.03$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 799.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked No | 65c | 769.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 15c | 765.05$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 53c | 609.82$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 17c | 604.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked No | 44c | 532.39$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…a41cbacked Yes | 3c | 511.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…c685backed No | 60c | 481.58$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…579fbacked No | 53c | 469.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…cfd1backed Yes | 11c | 411.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…82b1backed No | 74c | 410.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 353.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 346.02$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…1facbacked No | 75c | 335.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 328.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…c2a1backed No | 65c | 310$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973c…3485backed No | 71c | 270.62$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…6f9dbacked No | 72c | 223.34$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked No | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…0325backed No | 56c | 210.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…21dabacked Yes | 19c | 208.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…c836backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 66c | 199.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked No | 52c | 195.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…f895backed No | 74c | 188.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed No | 71c | 179.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…bbebbacked No | 58c | 171.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…6a57backed Yes | 14c | 153.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 53c | 151.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…b704backed Yes | 11c | 150.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…514fbacked No | 67c | 149.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…eb10backed No | 61c | 142.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked No | 56c | 142.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…ad8abacked Yes | 37c | 137.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 70c | 132.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…c41ebacked No | 53c | 131.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…da8bbacked No | 77c | 127.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…795cbacked No | 79c | 126.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 124.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked Yes | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…6e76backed No | 59c | 118.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +186.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 116.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 41c | 111.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 63c | 110.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…06ffbacked No | 67c | 109.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed No | 73c | 109.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…b376backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682b…2164backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 33c | 89.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…c81abacked No | 75c | 85.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed No | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…3f32backed No | 65c | 76.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 39c | 74.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…e370backed No | 70c | 71.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…c133backed No | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…a5a3backed Yes | 33c | 67.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 35c | 64.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…89c9backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7c5fbacked No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 56c | 61.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…f2b9backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed No | 79c | 59.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…ad2ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 34c | 54.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed No | 76c | 53.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…55b0backed No | 59c | 52.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…7b60backed No | 58c | 50.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…0ebebacked No | 69c | 50.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Yes | 29c | 50.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…c6a4backed No | 60c | 50.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…af84backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.