Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ce6c0c8f5fbcc12587f264cbf8795a8a254df10bf50ebbaae05a9179ba5959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b21…bfa3backed No | 1c | 5,032$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…6452backed No | 3c | 4,100$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +447.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 72c | 3,941$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.55 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 22c | 1,908$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.76 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 3c | 1,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed No | 72c | 1,230$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…3d9bbacked No | 1c | 1,014$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…5792backed No | 12c | 975$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 26c | 930.84$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…afaebacked No | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…9073backed No | 17c | 524.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…eb10backed No | 73c | 412.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fc…9878backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 44c | 400$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4d…8316backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 23c | 345.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.81 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 30c | 331.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 26c | 253.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 20c | 246.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 203.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed Yes | 77c | 195.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…9f89backed No | 68c | 186.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…7a4ebacked No | 68c | 175.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 28c | 167$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 19c | 160.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…39cabacked No | 79c | 155.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked No | 68c | 146.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 35c | 140.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…a89fbacked No | 72c | 137.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 63c | 134.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 80c | 128.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…df10backed No | 69c | 127$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 26c | 125.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…c685backed No | 67c | 123.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e814backed No | 70c | 116$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Yes | 18c | 113.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…4b35backed No | 70c | 107$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…9ff4backed No | 69c | 104$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…ef17backed No | 69c | 98.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…77f1backed No | 69c | 97.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 88.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…12ecbacked No | 65c | 82.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ade…2e95backed No | 66c | 77.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 66c | 71.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 78c | 68.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…e030backed No | 70c | 68.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…c78abacked Yes | 30c | 65.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d27…61aabacked Yes | 32c | 61.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…a105backed No | 67c | 61.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…63f8backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Yes | 21c | 58.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 52.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…9f6abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…46bfbacked No | 63c | 49.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.0wins | -0.50per pick | 58cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…ae2bbacked No | 62c | 48.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 57c | 46.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 64c | 42.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…24ddbacked No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…d56fbacked No | 64c | 40.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…1320backed Yes | 37c | 40.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…e9e7backed No | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…d1c4backed Yes | 42c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…6bc4backed Yes | 34c | 31.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2820…c2e5backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…76f9backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…431fbacked No | 62c | 29.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…c024backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…cb5dbacked No | 67c | 20.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…8a35backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…cb70backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…27f9backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 18.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…26f2backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…abe5backed No | 78c | 13.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.