Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405e518afc91feabe92063721dca46fe7b9e7ab2202f433f11aedc050a98510e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 15c | 3,253$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.59 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 1,534$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.16 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 1,345$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,112$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 996.35$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.88 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 9c | 738.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 729$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.11 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 682.81$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.61 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 674.69$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 638.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 530.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…07a9backed Over | 46c | 489.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 438$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 52c | 331$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 43c | 232.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 140.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 121.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 108.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 73.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 51.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 41.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 17.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.