Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ad2e04904c945fca4ea7a9fc1ea14244a3d0c3b7d7479f149f60b599bf13f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristiansund BKof Viking FK, Kristiansund BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Viking FK | 56c | 1,607$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Viking FK | 40c | 1,151$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Viking FK | 40c | 1,109$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kristiansund BK | 60c | 966.92$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.39 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Kristiansund BK | 25c | 887.4$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.55 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Kristiansund BK | 51c | 334.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Kristiansund BK | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kristiansund BK | 60c | 224.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kristiansund BK | 60c | 146.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kristiansund BK | 53c | 133.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Viking FK | 37c | 130.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Viking FK | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Viking FK | 45c | 56.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kristiansund BK | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Viking FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.