Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e984fc3e76d9454ebc64237d56815ed479c0e6de73596bae663004d935e5ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 751.13$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 55c | 741.95$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 77c | 356.41$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 47c | 259.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 45c | 237.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Under | 7c | 218.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 54c | 154.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 55c | 121.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 98.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 95.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 55c | 86.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 27c | 77.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 73.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 49c | 66.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 39c | 45.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 67c | 21.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.