Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e17a4a78735d50e3a18c23cfc881462893b0e38ee9affed9a6270d4db32de1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Ahli Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Khaleej Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1065…6218backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 62c | 1,035$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 39c | 919.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.2 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 39c | 466.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.29 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 61c | 340.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 61c | 312$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 38c | 302.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 38c | 263.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 57c | 181.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 43c | 139.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 39c | 122$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 60c | 53.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 429 | 50.8%218 W · 211 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.